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## Determine a simple probability. (0406.5.6)

1. Card Sharks - use your knowledge of probability to predict if the next card will be higher or lower 2. The Cereal Box Problem - How many boxes of cereal would you expect to have to buy, to get all six prizes?
3. Chances - interactive page at NCES Kid's Zone allows students to see the result of rolling a pair of dice several times 4. Coco the Parrot - Probability - Answer questions about the probability of simple and independent events. 5. Coin Flip - this coin flipper builds a column graph one flip at time - let your students see the progression as data is generated and collected 6. Coin Flipping Page - posted by Ken White 7. Coin Flipping Example - [2:14] video lesson; find the probability of getting exactly two heads when flipping three coins 8. Coin Toss - toss enough coins to make a prediction about probability (maximum number of tosses 1000, but you can keep tossing to get a larger data set) 9. Data Picking - students collect data, enter tally marks or numbers and then select which graph is appropriate 10. Dice Probability - Help Cassie and Maria figure the probability of Cassie getting a 5 both ways.
11. Experimental Probability - This activity allows the user to experiment with various random number generator models such as spinners and number cubes and tally results.  12. Fish Tank - Pythagoras takes a dive in his fish tank. Can you work out the probability of him catching a red fish? 13. Fractions, Decimals and Percentages - [Skillwise factsheet] How to write probabilities using fractions, decimals and percentages, and how to convert from one to another. 14. Guessing Game - Guess the number (from 1 to 100) that the computer has generated 15. How Certain? - [Skillwise factsheet] How mathematics can give a probability or likelihood answer to events that are not certain in a mathematical way. 16. Index of Probability Videos - some of these Khan Academy videos may be too advanced for Grade 4 students 17. Interpreting a Data Chart - students practice by answering questions about what can be found in a grid chart 18. Introduction to Probability - Interactive lesson plan with exercises as follow up to the discussion. 19. Investigate Weather Forecasts - [Skillwise worksheet] The investigate weather forecasts experiment looks at how to work out the probability of the weather forecast being right. 20. Let's Make A Deal - Stick or Switch your choice of doors. 21. M & M Probability Game - this lesson plan includes links to .pdf worksheet and game markers 22. Marbles - This activity allows the user to emulate pulling marbles out of a bag under various conditions.  23. One-Minute Video on Probability - [Skillwise video] Why learn about probability? 24. Ordering Chances - [Skillwise worksheet] The ordering chances task helps you to decide the probability of events happening and place them onto a probability scale. 25. Pack of Cards - [Skillwise worksheet] Questions to test your ability to work out the probability of picking specific cards from a pack of playing cards. 26. Practice with Data - answer questions pertaining to collecting and organizing data [This expired link is available through the Wayback Machine Internet Archive. If the page doesn't load quickly click on Impatient? at the bottom right of the page.]
27. Probability - online quiz 28. Probability Central - a ThinkQuest entry prepared by students for students
29. Probability Fair - choose the probability that has the best chance in this interactive game from Mr. Nussbaum 30. Probability Games - links to five games 31. Probability Lesson Plan -Discover, explore and tabulate a table of the number of times a specific event can occur. In this activity, students consider the results of two types of events.
32. Probability of Dependent Events - [2:23] video lesson 33. Probability of Dependent Events 2 - [10:51] video lesson with worked out examples 34. Probability of More Complex Outcomes - [6:17] video lesson; find the probability of rolling doubles on two six-sided dice 35. Probability Quiz - [Skillwise quiz] Entry 3 quiz 36. Probability Quiz - [Skillwise quiz] Level 1 quiz 37. Probability Scale - [Skillwise worksheet] A probability scale task for you to decide where specific events should be placed on the probability scale. 38. The Probability Scale - [Skillwise factsheet] How to add likely and unlikely events to a probability scale. 39. Probability Worksheets - Worksheets with answer keys provided
40. Putting a Number to Chance - [Skillwise worksheet] The putting a number to chance task looks at the best ways to work out the probability of a particular event, for instance the chance of not being burgled by using statistics. 41. Simple Probability - [2:56] video lesson; find the probability of pulling a yellow marble from a bag 42. Spinner - This activity allows the user to explore experimental and theoretical probabilities by adding and removing sections of a circle. Comments to the Instructor are included.  43. Starfish Probability - interactive game - state the probability of picking up a starfish of the specified color 44. Two Colors - This activity allows the user to simulate pulling red and green balls out of boxes, in order to understand the concept of conditional probability.  45. What is Probability? - [Skillwise factsheet] Explains what probability means, and looks at how the probability scale works 46. Working Out the Probability: Rolling a Dice - [Skillwise factsheet] How to work out the probability of getting a number at the roll of a dice.  site for teachers | PowerPoint show | Acrobat document | Word document | whiteboard resource | sound | video format | interactive lesson | a quiz | lesson plan | to print Internet4classrooms is a collaborative effort by Susan Brooks and Bill Byles. 